Автор: Kahneman, Daniel Sibony, Olivier Sunstein, Cass R. Название: Noise Pb ISBN: 0008309000 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780008309008 Издательство: HarperCollins UK Рейтинг: Цена: 14650.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть Описание: In 1721 a 20-year-old soprano employed at the princely court in Kthen married the courts Kapellmeister, set to become the greatest composer of the age. As his second wife she married into a young family with four children, and a busy household filled with music. The music book that Johann Sebastian Bach presented to his new wife Anna Magdalena in 1722, and replaced more lavishly in 1725, treats us to a tantalizing glimpse inside this unique family, allowing us to sit beside Bach as a composer, teacher, husband and father. Over the years, these notebooks became a place for the family to share instructional exercises, favourite pieces
Автор: Kahneman, Daniel Название: Noise ISBN: 0008308993 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780008308995 Издательство: HarperCollins UK Рейтинг: Цена: 22000.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка. Описание: Everyone`s a suspect when murder is on the menu! With this Classic Detective Murder Mystery you have everything you need to serve up the perfect murder mystery dinner party. First the invites, you choose which of your friends play which devious suspect and invite them to come along as that character. Then the shopping list, menu suggestions and recipes. Plus of course...a really tasty murder to solve. In Death by Chocolate, it`s Easter Sunday 15 April 1900 and Paris is the centre of world attention as millions of visitors arrive for the opening weekend of the International Exposition. Amongst them is an elite but diverse group of individuals staying at the Hotel Paradiso. As they gather for dinner, however, the peace of the hotel is rocked by an explosion. Billy Bonka, the foremost chocolate manufacturer in America, is found dead in his room, having apparently been killed by an exploding Easter Egg. Suspicion falls on the people around this table. Your task is to discover who that killer is. Fortunately the famous amateur detective Hercule McClue is on hand to assist your investigations. This game includes a DVD with special cameo appearance by Michael Winner. This game is guarantee to be drop dead fun, and that by the end of the evening one (or more) of the suspects, your friends will be caught out as the murderer! This game is for 6 - 8 players and suitable for ages teen and up.Contents: Party planner with game rules, recipes, music suggestions and decorating tips; Character booklets including each guests role description, background information and a few tasty secrets!;Place cards for each character; Party invitations and envelopes for each character;6 x Secret clues; DVD with an introduction, scene setter, summary of events and solution to the crimeWarnings: Not suitable for children under 36 months, small parts, choking hazard.
Автор: Cass R Sunstein,Richard H Thaler Название: Nudge ISBN: 0141040017 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141040011 Издательство: Random House - Penguin Рейтинг: Цена: 8790.00 T Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ. Описание: Every day we make decisions: about the things that we buy or the meals we eat; about the investments we make or our children`s health and education; even the causes that we champion or the planet itself. This book offers a fresh way of looking at the world for individuals and governments alike.
Автор: Thaler Richard H. Название: Misbehaving: The Making of Behavioral Economics ISBN: 0393080943 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780393080940 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 26610.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть Описание: The celebrated economist and coauthor of the best-selling Nudge on the revolution that incorporated human behavior into our understanding of markets.
Автор: Sunstein Cass R. Название: Conformity: The Power of Social Influences ISBN: 1479867837 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781479867837 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 60190.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание:
Bestselling author Cass R. Sunstein reveals the appeal and the danger of conformity
We live in an era of tribalism, polarization, and intense social division--separating people along lines of religion, political conviction, race, ethnicity, and sometimes gender. How did this happen? In Conformity, Cass R. Sunstein argues that the key to making sense of living in this fractured world lies in understanding the idea of conformity--what it is and how it works--as well as the countervailing force of dissent.
An understanding of conformity sheds new light on many issues confronting us today: the role of social media, the rise of fake news, the growth of authoritarianism, the success of Donald Trump, the functions of free speech, debates over immigration and the Supreme Court, and much more.
Lacking information of our own and seeking the good opinion of others, we often follow the crowd, but Sunstein shows that when individuals suppress their own instincts about what is true and what is right, it can lead to significant social harm. While dissenters tend to be seen as selfish individualists, dissent is actually an important means of correcting the natural human tendency toward conformity and has enormous social benefits in reducing extremism, encouraging critical thinking, and protecting freedom itself.
Sunstein concludes that while much of the time it is in the individual's interest to follow the crowd, it is in the social interest for individuals to say and do what they think is best. A well-functioning democracy depends on it.
Автор: Sunstein Cass R. Название: Conformity: The Power of Social Influences ISBN: 1479810177 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781479810178 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 12540.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Bestselling author Cass R. Sunstein reveals the appeal and the danger of conformity We live in an era of tribalism, polarization, and intense social division-separating people along lines of religion, political conviction, race, ethnicity, and sometimes gender. How did this happen? In Conformity, Cass R.
Sunstein argues that the key to making sense of living in this fractured world lies in understanding the idea of conformity-what it is and how it works-as well as the countervailing force of dissent. An understanding of conformity sheds new light on many issues confronting us today: the role of social media, the rise of fake news, the growth of authoritarianism, the success of Donald Trump, the functions of free speech, debates over immigration and the Supreme Court, and much more. Lacking information of our own and seeking the good opinion of others, we often follow the crowd, but Sunstein shows that when individuals suppress their own instincts about what is true and what is right, it can lead to significant social harm.
While dissenters tend to be seen as selfish individualists, dissent is actually an important means of correcting the natural human tendency toward conformity and has enormous social benefits in reducing extremism, encouraging critical thinking, and protecting freedom itself. Sunstein concludes that while much of the time it is in the individual's interest to follow the crowd, it is in the social interest for individuals to say and do what they think is best. A well-functioning democracy depends on it.
Автор: Sunstein Cass R. Название: The Cost-Benefit Revolution ISBN: 0262538016 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780262538015 Издательство: MIT Press Рейтинг: Цена: 27030.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка. Описание: Why policies should be based on careful consideration of their costs and benefits rather than on intuition, popular opinion, interest groups, and anecdotes.
Opinions on government policies vary widely. Some people feel passionately about the child obesity epidemic and support government regulation of sugary drinks. Others argue that people should be able to eat and drink whatever they like. Some people are alarmed about climate change and favor aggressive government intervention. Others don't feel the need for any sort of climate regulation. In The Cost-Benefit Revolution, Cass Sunstein argues our major disagreements really involve facts, not values. It follows that government policy should not be based on public opinion, intuitions, or pressure from interest groups, but on numbers--meaning careful consideration of costs and benefits. Will a policy save one life, or one thousand lives? Will it impose costs on consumers, and if so, will the costs be high or negligible? Will it hurt workers and small businesses, and, if so, precisely how much?
As the Obama administration's "regulatory czar," Sunstein knows his subject in both theory and practice. Drawing on behavioral economics and his well-known emphasis on "nudging," he celebrates the cost-benefit revolution in policy making, tracing its defining moments in the Reagan, Clinton, and Obama administrations (and pondering its uncertain future in the Trump administration). He acknowledges that public officials often lack information about costs and benefits, and outlines state-of-the-art techniques for acquiring that information. Policies should make people's lives better. Quantitative cost-benefit analysis, Sunstein argues, is the best available method for making this happen--even if, in the future, new measures of human well-being, also explored in this book, may be better still.
Автор: Sunstein Cass R. Название: On Freedom ISBN: 0691191158 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691191157 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 11610.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание:
From New York Times bestselling author Cass Sunstein, a brisk, provocative book that shows what freedom really means--and requires--today
In this pathbreaking book, New York Times bestselling author Cass Sunstein asks us to rethink freedom. He shows that freedom of choice isn't nearly enough. To be free, we must also be able to navigate life. People often need something like a GPS device to help them get where they want to go--whether the issue involves health, money, jobs, children, or relationships.
In both rich and poor countries, citizens often have no idea how to get to their desired destination. That is why they are unfree. People also face serious problems of self-control, as many of them make decisions today that can make their lives worse tomorrow. And in some cases, we would be just as happy with other choices, whether a different partner, career, or place to live--which raises the difficult question of which outcome best promotes our well-being.
Accessible and lively, and drawing on perspectives from the humanities, religion, and the arts, as well as social science and the law, On Freedom explores a crucial dimension of the human condition that philosophers and economists have long missed--and shows what it would take to make freedom real.
-- "Times Higher Education"
Автор: Sunstein, Cass R. Название: Designing Democracy: What Constitutions Do ISBN: 0195158407 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780195158403 Издательство: Oxford Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 45930.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Confronting one explosive political issue after another from discrimination against women to gays to the limits of religious liberty, Cass Sunstein's 'Designing Democracy' constructs a powerful new perspective from which to show how democracies negotiate their most divisive real world problems.
Автор: Kahneman Daniel, Sibony Olivier, Sunstein Cass R. Название: Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment ISBN: 031632227X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780316322270 Издательство: Hachette Book Group Цена: 29920.00 T Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии. Описание: From the bestselling author of Thinking, Fast and Slow, the co-author of Nudge, and the author of You Are About to Make a Terrible Mistake comes Noise, a revolutionary exploration of why people make bad judgments, and how to control both noise and cognitive bias. Imagine that two doctors in the same city give different diagnoses to identical patients--or that two judges in the same courthouse give markedly different sentences to people who have committed the same crime. Suppose that different interviewers at the same firm make different decisions about indistinguishable job applicants--or that when a company is handling customer complaints, the resolution depends on who happens to answer the phone. Now imagine that the same doctor, the same judge, the same interviewer, or the same customer service agent makes different decisions depending on whether it is morning or afternoon, or Monday rather than Wednesday. These are examples of noise: variability in judgments that should be identical. In Noise, Daniel Kahneman, Olivier Sibony, and Cass R. Sunstein show the detrimental effects of noise in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, bail, child protection, strategy, performance reviews, and personnel selection. Wherever there is judgment, there is noise. Yet, most of the time, individuals and organizations alike are unaware of it. They neglect noise. With a few simple remedies, people can reduce both noise and bias, and so make far better decisions. Packed with original ideas, and offering the same kinds of research-based insights that made Thinking, Fast and Slow and Nudge groundbreaking New York Times bestsellers, Noise explains how and why humans are so susceptible to noise in judgment--and what we can do about it.
Автор: Sunstein Cass R. Название: #Republic: Divided Democracy in the Age of Social Media ISBN: 0691175519 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691175515 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 29570.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание:
From the New York Times bestselling author of Nudge and The World According to Star Wars, a revealing account of how today's Internet threatens democracy--and what can be done about it
As the Internet grows more sophisticated, it is creating new threats to democracy. Social media companies such as Facebook can sort us ever more efficiently into groups of the like-minded, creating echo chambers that amplify our views. It's no accident that on some occasions, people of different political views cannot even understand each other. It's also no surprise that terrorist groups have been able to exploit social media to deadly effect.
Welcome to the age of #Republic.
In this revealing book, Cass Sunstein, the New York Times bestselling author of Nudge and The World According to Star Wars, shows how today's Internet is driving political fragmentation, polarization, and even extremism--and what can be done about it.
Thoroughly rethinking the critical relationship between democracy and the Internet, Sunstein describes how the online world creates cybercascades, exploits confirmation bias, and assists polarization entrepreneurs. And he explains why online fragmentation endangers the shared conversations, experiences, and understandings that are the lifeblood of democracy.
In response, Sunstein proposes practical and legal changes to make the Internet friendlier to democratic deliberation. These changes would get us out of our information cocoons by increasing the frequency of unchosen, unplanned encounters and exposing us to people, places, things, and ideas that we would never have picked for our Twitter feed.
#Republic need not be an ironic term. As Sunstein shows, it can be a rallying cry for the kind of democracy that citizens of diverse societies most need.
Best-selling author Cass R. Sunstein examines how to avoid worst-case scenarios The world is increasingly confronted with new challenges related to climate change, globalization, disease, and technology. Governments are faced with having to decide how much risk is worth taking, how much destruction and death can be tolerated, and how much money should be invested in the hopes of avoiding catastrophe. Lacking full information, should decision-makers focus on avoiding the most catastrophic outcomes? When should extreme measures be taken to prevent as much destruction as possible? Averting Catastrophe explores how governments ought to make decisions in times of imminent disaster. Cass R. Sunstein argues that using the “maximin rule,” which calls for choosing the approach that eliminates the worst of the worst-case scenarios, may be necessary when public officials lack important information, and when the worst-case scenario is too disastrous to contemplate. He underscores this argument by emphasizing the reality of “Knightian uncertainty,” found in circumstances in which it is not possible to assign probabilities to various outcomes. Sunstein brings foundational issues in decision theory in close contact with real problems in regulation, law, and daily life, and considers other potential future risks. At once an approachable introduction to decision-theory and a provocative argument for how governments ought to handle risk, Averting Catastrophe offers a definitive path forward in a world rife with uncertainty.
Казахстан, 010000 г. Астана, проспект Туран 43/5, НП2 (офис 2) ТОО "Логобук" Тел:+7 707 857-29-98 ,+7(7172) 65-23-70 www.logobook.kz
