Автор: King Mervyn,Kay John Название: Radical Uncertainty ISBN: 0349143994 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780349143996 Издательство: Little Brown Рейтинг: Цена: 15170.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: This ambitious and thought-provoking new work offers an overarching analysis of decision-making in all walks of life.
Автор: King, Kay Название: Why baby loss matters ISBN: 1780666357 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781780666358 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 9490.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Why Baby Loss Matters explores how we can best support those experiencing heartbreak and suffering.
Автор: Batho, Rosemary Kay, Judy Waugh, Bernice Название: Beginner`s guide to floristry ISBN: 1741961882 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781741961881 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 21120.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: A comprehensive step-by-step guide to floristry which includes step- by-step instructions for a wide range of basic floristry skills, from wiring and taping through to making a bridal bouquet. Inspirational pages feature a range of finished designs, both traditional and modern. It also provides advice for running a smooth business.
Автор: Kay John, King Mervyn Название: Radical Uncertainty: Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers ISBN: 0393541983 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780393541984 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 12210.00 T Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ. Описание:
Some uncertainties are resolvable. The insurance industry's actuarial tables and the gambler's roulette wheel both yield to the tools of probability theory. Most situations in life, however, involve a deeper kind of uncertainty, a radical uncertainty for which historical data provide no useful guidance to future outcomes. Radical uncertainty concerns events whose determinants are insufficiently understood for probabilities to be known or forecasting possible. Before President Barack Obama made the fateful decision to send in the Navy Seals, his advisers offered him wildly divergent estimates of the odds that Osama bin Laden would be in the Abbottabad compound. In 2000, no one--not least Steve Jobs--knew what a smartphone was; how could anyone have predicted how many would be sold in 2020? And financial advisers who confidently provide the information required in the standard retirement planning package--what will interest rates, the cost of living, and your state of health be in 2050?--demonstrate only that their advice is worthless.
The limits of certainty demonstrate the power of human judgment over artificial intelligence. In most critical decisions there can be no forecasts or probability distributions on which we might sensibly rely. Instead of inventing numbers to fill the gaps in our knowledge, we should adopt business, political, and personal strategies that will be robust to alternative futures and resilient to unpredictable events. Within the security of such a robust and resilient reference narrative, uncertainty can be embraced, because it is the source of creativity, excitement, and profit.
Автор: Lynn Judy, Foss Kay, Island County Historical Society and Mus Название: Coupeville ISBN: 1531659780 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781531659783 Издательство: Неизвестно Цена: 29420.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Автор: King Judy Kay Название: Balls of Fire: A Science of Life and Death ISBN: 0976281422 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780976281429 Издательство: Неизвестно Цена: 51500.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание:
Spanning 5,000 years of history from ancient Egypt to our technoprogressive 21st century, the science reviewed in Balls of Fire builds on The Isis Thesis (2004) and 12 peer-reviewed journal articles (2005-2013). The Isis Thesis is a semiotic study of ancient Egyptian literature, artwork, ritual, and architecture, showing that ancient Egyptian deities are signs for human and microbial genes and proteins evolving into a hybrid quantum species. Since the pharaoh's ball-throwing rite is the origin of baseball, Balls of Fire uses a fantasy baseball game of dead and living thinkers to expose hidden historical knowledge about evolution and the survival of our DNA at a death transition. The study offers evidence that our behavior (baseball, myth, Christianity, alchemy, literature, art, capitalism, genetic engineering, our machinic culture, and so on) explains our potential to evolve at death into a unique hybrid species through adaptive mutation. Although Elite historical rulers have veiled this knowledge, our behavior has stamped a viral footprint for evolution on the last 12,000 years of human history. Balls of Fire has been recognized as a Finalist in the 18th annual Foreword Reviews' INDIEFAB Book of the Year Awards under the Nonfiction Adult category of Body, Mind and Spirit. Here is the complete list: https: //indiefab.forewordreviews.com/finalists/2015/
Автор: King Judy Kay Название: The Isis Thesis: A Study Decoding 870 Ancient Egyptian Signs ISBN: 0976281406 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780976281405 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 51500.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание:
Grounded in biosemiotics (all levels of biological sign processes), The Isis Thesis is a transdisciplinary study of eight major ancient Egyptian texts, revealing that over 870 decoded signs, including art and architecture, communicate a unified matrix of pharaonic science, mirroring modern knowledge in microbiology, space physics, quantum physics, evolutionary genetics and black hole theory. Put simply, the Egyptian afterlife is the quantum domain, and their deities are signs for microbial genes and proteins, describing a biophysical process of horizontal gene transfer (DNA exchange between species) and radical morphogenesis for human evolution. The initial methodology included multiple reviews of the least corrupted Pyramid and Coffin d104s to categorize 108 key themes that were synthesized into 30 major idea strands, defining textual events and activities of major deities. From this analysis, a hypothetical biological model of primary signs emerged for further testing in six additional texts: Amduat, Book of Gates, Book of Two Ways, Edifice of Taharqa, Papyrus of Ani including the Theban Recension. Abductive reasoning allowed modifications to the working model with verification of Egyptian principles supported by modern scientific research. A logical, holistic matrix emerged, explaining horizontal gene transfer as an option for afterlife transformation. On the quantum level of DNA transcription, the texts depict and describe proteins binding, folding and tunneling, using modern terms and images to explain black hole/white hole formation/evaporation processes. Thus, they translate a DNA wormhole into a quantum mechanical Einstein-Rosen bridge back to the Early Universe. In this biophysical evolutionary process, the activities of Egyptian deities are signs explaining the ancient glycolysis gene expression network in our cells and the lifestyles of a complex bacterial virus that uses this ancient developmental pathway. Surprisingly, other historical religious deities mirror the activities of Egyptian deities, so religion has also preserved an evolutionary science for survival of human DNA in a quantum environment. The study spanning 2000 years of Ancient Egyptian texts reveals a microbiological basis for pharaonic psychology, literature, architecture and art. In this consistent model, the value or meaning of each sign emerged, not by choice, but rather from an analysis of each sign's interaction within a matrix of 870 interlinked thematic signs. The texts support an afterlife option for morphogenesis that is mediated by an ancient virus called bacteriophage Lambda. The Isis Thesis presents scientific evidence that our semiotic system is based on underlying physical and chemical principles inherited from our microbial ancestors, so our microbial DNA is ordering our society space. Examining ancient Egyptian texts, art and architecture through the dual lens of contemporary science and human behavior, the study shows that human beings have the potential to evolve at death into a unique hybrid species.
Автор: Kay John, King Mervyn Название: Radical Uncertainty: Decision-Making Beyond the Numbers ISBN: 1324004770 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781324004776 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 24280.00 T Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ. Описание:
Some uncertainties are resolvable. The insurance industry's actuarial tables and the gambler's roulette wheel both yield to the tools of probability theory. Most situations in life, however, involve a deeper kind of uncertainty, a radical uncertainty for which historical data provide no useful guidance to future outcomes. Radical uncertainty concerns events whose determinants are insufficiently understood for probabilities to be known or forecasting possible. Before President Barack Obama made the fateful decision to send in the Navy Seals, his advisers offered him wildly divergent estimates of the odds that Osama bin Laden would be in the Abbottabad compound. In 2000, no-one--not least Steve Jobs--knew what a smartphone was; how could anyone have predicted how many would be sold in 2020? And financial advisers who confidently provide the information required in the standard retirement planning package--what will interest rates, the cost of living, and your state of health be in 2050?--demonstrate only that their advice is worthless.
The limits of certainty demonstrate the power of human judgment over artificial intelligence. In most critical decisions there can be no forecasts or probability distributions on which we might sensibly rely. Instead of inventing numbers to fill the gaps in our knowledge, we should adopt business, political, and personal strategies that will be robust to alternative futures and resilient to unpredictable events. Within the security of such a robust and resilient reference narrative, uncertainty can be embraced, because it is the source of creativity, excitement, and profit.
Автор: Judy Willmore Название: The Menagerie: Passion, Power, and Poison in the Court of the Sun King ISBN: 1951122194 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781951122195 Издательство: Gazelle Book Services Рейтинг: Цена: 22810.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Francoise-Athenais de Rochechouart de Mortemart had to have Louis, King of France, but his other mistresses stood in the way. Then she meets the very helpful sorceress and Athenais gets her wish. But soon Louis hears tales of witchcraft and poison, a conspiracy spreading through his court—like the beasts in the Versailles menagerie, courtesans are clawing their way to his favor, and his bed. He orders Lieutenant General of Police Gabriel-Nicolas de la Reynie to investigate. Mysterious deaths mount while La Reynie presses on, hauling in witches, charlatans, and the nobility alike. Grimy fingers point to Athenais, the Kings mistress, with whispers of a black mass celebrated over her naked body. Then La Reynie discovers a plot to kill her.
Автор: Wolfman Judy Название: The Orville Redenbacher Story: Kernels from the Popcorn King ISBN: 1984528750 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781984528759 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 20830.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Автор: Kay Judy Название: Special Moments ISBN: 1950024148 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781950024148 Издательство: Неизвестно Цена: 7350.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка. Описание:
This book of poems is in short story form. Each one was created from my personal experiences and those of friends or family. I hope to entice my readers to take another journey with me through the pages of SPECIAL MOMENTS. If you have this book in your hands, it's time to sit back in your favorite chair and lose yourself in these stories. I hope they touch your heart and maybe give you a smile. These writings have helped me to mend my heart after the loss of my daughter. Sometimes the greatest gift is sharing them with others. I hope you agree and enjoy your time of reading.
Автор: Kay Terry Название: The King Who Made Paper Flowers ISBN: 0881467723 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780881467727 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 15050.00 T Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии. Описание: When Arthur Benjamin steps from a Greyhound bus in Savannah, Georgia, he is immediately robbed by an affable street magician named Hamby Cahill. It is Hamby`s first act of thievery and the remorse of it so overwhelms him that he finds lodging for Arthur in The Castle, a warehouse supposedly owned an eccentric and fragile grande dame.
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