The Gap Between Weather and Climate Forecasting: Sub-Seasonal to Seasonal Prediction is an ideal reference for researchers and practitioners across the range of disciplines involved in the science, modeling, forecasting and application of this new frontier in sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) prediction. It provides an accessible, yet rigorous, introduction to the scientific principles and sources of predictability through the unique challenges of numerical simulation and forecasting with state-of-science modeling codes and supercomputers. Additional coverage includes the prospects for developing applications to trigger early action decisions to lessen weather catastrophes, minimize costly damage, and optimize operator decisions.
The book consists of a set of contributed chapters solicited from experts and leaders in the fields of S2S predictability science, numerical modeling, operational forecasting, and developing application sectors. The introduction and conclusion, written by the co-editors, provides historical perspective, unique synthesis and prospects, and emerging opportunities in this exciting, complex and interdisciplinary field.
Contains contributed chapters from leaders and experts in sub-seasonal to seasonal science, forecasting and applications
Provides a one-stop shop for graduate students, academic and applied researchers, and practitioners in an emerging and interdisciplinary field
Offers a synthesis of the state of S2S science through the use of concrete examples, enabling potential users of S2S forecasts to quickly grasp the potential for application in their own decision-making
Includes a broad set of topics, illustrated with graphic examples, that highlight interdisciplinary linkages
Автор: Zaixing Jiang Название: Sedimentary Dynamics of Windfield-Source-Basin System ISBN: 9811074062 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789811074066 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 186330.00 T Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии. Описание: This book introduces the geological concept of the "windfield-source-basin system," based on integrated modern and ancient sedimentology studies. It identifies wind field as a main sedimentation-controlling factor that combines with provenance and basin dynamics to determine the formation and distribution of depositional systems. Using the unary properties of facies, sedimentary models and the duality properties of source-to-sink approaches, the concept of a "wind-source-basin system" introduces the "sedimentary system trinity": wind field, provenance and basin properties.
"Wind-source-basin systems" provide more plausible genetic interpretations of depositional systems (including both continental and marine facies, and clastic and carbonate systems), as well as more comprehensive and precise predictions of depositional systems (hydrocarbon reservoirs) in unknown regions. Further, the book proposes a series of methods on paleowind field reconstruction, which fill the gaps in paleo-atmospheric field studies in paleoclimatology, and shows that allocating relationships among source-reservoir-cap in petroliferous basins are limited by the "wind-source-basin system". This trinity system also provides a new perspective on petroleum geology assessment.
The book appeals to all those engaged in sedimentology, petroleum geology and climatology studies.
Автор: Venkata Bhaskar Rao Dodla Название: Numerical Weather Prediction ISBN: 1032406259 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781032406251 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 132710.00 T Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии. Описание: The purpose of this book is to present the basics of NWP in lucid form to those who seek an overview of the science of modern weather prediction.
Автор: Zaixing Jiang Название: Sedimentary Dynamics of Windfield-Source-Basin System ISBN: 981133949X ISBN-13(EAN): 9789811339493 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 139750.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: This book introduces the geological concept of the “windfield-source-basin system,” based on integrated modern and ancient sedimentology studies. It identifies wind field as a main sedimentation-controlling factor that combines with provenance and basin dynamics to determine the formation and distribution of depositional systems. Using the unary properties of facies, sedimentary models and the duality properties of source-to-sink approaches, the concept of a “wind-source-basin system” introduces the “sedimentary system trinity”: wind field, provenance and basin properties. “Wind-source-basin systems” provide more plausible genetic interpretations of depositional systems (including both continental and marine facies, and clastic and carbonate systems), as well as more comprehensive and precise predictions of depositional systems (hydrocarbon reservoirs) in unknown regions. Further, the book proposes a series of methods on paleowind field reconstruction, which fill the gaps in paleo-atmospheric field studies in paleoclimatology, and shows that allocating relationships among source-reservoir-cap in petroliferous basins are limited by the “wind-source-basin system”. This trinity system also provides a new perspective on petroleum geology assessment.The book appeals to all those engaged in sedimentology, petroleum geology and climatology studies.
Автор: Luigi Coppola Название: Hydrogeological Instability in Cohesive Soils ISBN: 3030089665 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783030089665 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 93160.00 T Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии. Описание: This book discusses techniques for predicting, preventing and controlling the hydrogeological instability of slopes consisting of cohesive soils. The proposed methodology is practical and innovative, and assumes a dynamic valence in defining the deformation process of underground failure as well as its activation through the assumption of a four-dimensional space-time continuum. This latter aspect is crucial for predicting a landslide in time to control it. At present, predicting, preventing and controlling hydrogeological instability in cohesive soils relies on mathematical modelling using specific software, the predictive reliability of which is rather deficient. Such modelling is based upon deterministic processes, which are entirely unsuitable for dealing with the complexity of vital processes occurring during the genesis of a landslide. In this work, the three-dimensional vision of a landslide as a set of distinct and independent phenomena is abandoned and the prediction and prevention of hydrogeological instability is pursued through the alternative of an indivisible totality of natural phenomena that includes the time factor. The book is of interest to graduates and researchers of applied geology, geotechnical, environmental and civil engineering, as well as professionals in the fields of hydrogeology and natural hazards.
Автор: Zek?i ?en Название: Flood Modeling, Prediction and Mitigation ISBN: 3319848836 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783319848839 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 107130.00 T Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии. Описание: This book draws on the author’s professional experience and expertise in humid and arid regions to familiarize readers with the basic scientific philosophy and methods regarding floods and their impacts on human life and property. The basis of each model, algorithm and calculation methodology is presented, together with logical and analytical strategies. Global warming and climate change trends are addressed, while flood risk assessments, vulnerability, preventive and mitigation procedures are explained systematically, helping readers apply them in a rational and effective manner. Lastly, real-world project applications are highlighted in each section, ensuring readers grasp not only the theoretical aspects but also their concrete implementation.
Автор: Annalisa Griffa, A. D. Kirwan, Jr., Arthur J. Mariano, Tamay Ozgokmen, H. Thomas Rossby Название: Lagrangian Analysis and Prediction of Coastal and Ocean Dynamics ISBN: 1108460550 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781108460552 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 62310.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Written by international experts in their field, this book is a review of Lagrangian observation, analysis and assimilation methods in physical and biological oceanography. It will be of great interest to researchers and graduate students looking for information on transport and dispersion in physical systems, biological modeling, and data assimilation.
Автор: Olafsson, Haraldur Название: Olafsson-Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction ISBN: 0128154918 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780128154915 Издательство: Elsevier Science Рейтинг: Цена: 119030.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание:
Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction is a comprehensive work on the most current understandings of uncertainties and predictability in numerical simulations of the atmosphere. It provides a general knowledge of all aspects of uncertainties in the weather prediction models in a single, easy to use reference. Uncertainties in Numerical Weather Prediction illustrates the particular uncertainties in observations and data assimilation, as well as the errors associated with the numerical integration methods. Stochastic methods in parameterisation of subgrid processes are also assessed, as well as uncertainties associated with surface-atmosphere exchange, orographic flows and processes in the atmospheric boundary layer. Through a better understanding of the uncertainties to watch for, readers will be able to produce more precise and accurate forecasts.
This is an essential work for anyone wanting to improve the accuracy of weather and climate forecasting, or developing tools to enhance the quality of such forecasts.
Provides a comprehensive overview of the state of numerical weather prediction at spatial scales, from hundreds of meters, to thousands of kilometers
Focuses on short-term 1-15 day atmospheric predictions, with some coverage appropriate for longer-term forecasts
Includes references to climate prediction models to allow applications of these techniques for climate simulations
Автор: M.E. Berlyand Название: Prediction and Regulation of Air Pollution ISBN: 9401056773 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789401056779 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 177010.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: In addition to the estimation and the monitoring of pollutant concentrations in the air around their sources, by way of observational data and also by calcu- lations on the basis of theoretical research, it is now possible to make short- term forecasts of air pollution and to use them to regulate industrial emissions.
Автор: Matthias Lange; Ulrich Focken Название: Physical Approach to Short-Term Wind Power Prediction ISBN: 3642065082 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642065088 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 130590.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Overview of Wind Power Prediction Systems.- Foundations of Physical Prediction Models.- Physical Wind Power Prediction Systems.- Data.- Assessment of the Prediction Accuracy.- Correction of Wind Profiles Due to Thermal Stratification.- Assessment of Wind Speed Dependent Prediction Error.- Relating the Forecast Error to Meteorological Situations.- Smoothing Effects in Regional Power Prediction.- Outlook.
Автор: Lange, Matthias, Focken, Ulrich Название: Physical Approach to Short-Term Wind Power Prediction ISBN: 3540256628 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783540256625 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 148020.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: The effective integration of wind energy into the overall electricity supply is a technical and economical challenge because the availability of wind power is determined by fluctuating meteorological conditions. This book offers an approach to the ultimate goal of the short-term prediction of the power output of winds farms. Starting from basic aspects of atmospheric fluid dynamics, the authors discuss the structure of winds fields, the available forecast systems and the handling of the intrinsic, weather-dependent uncertainties in the regional prediction of the power generated by wind turbines. This book addresses scientists and engineers working in wind energy related R and D and industry, as well as graduate students and nonspecialists researchers in the fields of atmospheric physics and meteorology.
Автор: R. Dogniaux Название: Prediction of Solar Radiation in Areas with a Specific Microclimate ISBN: 0792325966 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792325963 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 121890.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: One of the main objectives of the European Community Programme on Solar Energy is to provide solar energy practitioners with meteorological and climatological data so that they can estimate the solar radiation falling on a receiving surface for any location and at any time throughout the year. This volume presents the results of this programme.
Автор: Sujit Mandal; Ramkrishna Maiti Название: Semi-quantitative Approaches for Landslide Assessment and Prediction ISBN: 9811013713 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789811013713 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 95770.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: These three attributes have been described in terms of critical rainfall, critical slope, critical height and changes and development of drainage network in landslides.
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