Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making, Koller, Glenn
Автор: Koller, Glenn Название: Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making ISBN: 0367398648 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780367398644 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 65320.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: A follow-up to Koller's Risk Assessment and Decision Making in Business and Industry, Risk Modeling for Determining Value and Decision Making presents a plain-English narrative that explores comprehensive risk/uncertainty analyses in manufacturing, security, law, investing, production sharing, scheduling, insurance, pricing, and more. Focusing on value, it outlines and discusses risk assessment models applicable to real business scenarios. The presentation of each model also includes computer code that encapsulates its logic along with direction on how to apply the model to other types of problems.
Автор: Mark W.J. Blok; A.T. Kearney Название: Dynamic Models of the Firm ISBN: 3540608028 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783540608028 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 102480.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: This text aims to contribute to the scientific field of optimal control theory applied to dynamic models of the firm. It discusses optimal investment, financing and production policies of the firm, which has to deal with a variety of aspects, such as financial constraints and business cycles.
Автор: K.A. Zischka Название: Astronavigation ISBN: 3319479938 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783319479934 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 102480.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание:
This book acts as a manual for the ancient methods of navigating by the stars, which continue to provide the sailor or pilot with a timeless means of determining location. Despite the prevalence of GPS, a comprehensive set of formulae that can be evaluated on any inexpensive scientific calculator in the event of a catastrophic software or systems failure is a vital failsafe. It also serves as a living link to centuries of explorers from centuries past.
Beginning with the basics of positional astronomy, this guide moves on to the more complex math necessary to understand the ephemerides, tables showing the future positions of the stars and planets. These astronomical almanacs were the satellite navigation of their day. The objective of this book is twofold: to provide the reader with a concise, comprehensible manual on positional astronomy as it applies to astro-navigation and to furnish the concise algorithms for finding the position of the Sun and various navigational stars at any given instant.
In a world where too many mariners and aeronauts rely solely on technology and are vulnerable to solar flares, electrical issues, and the like, this knowledge can be a life-saving backup, not to mention a fascinating study in its own rights. Included is an exact mathematical way to determine your position in the air or on the sea far more quickly and accurately than by using the old celestial navigational method, without even needing to know or understand the underlying mathematics. There is even a section that teaches how to measure the azimuth of a star using an analog wrist watch so if a sextant gets damaged, locating position is still possible. This book offers mathematicians and adventurers a way to determine position when the skies go dark.
The U.S. Navy has recently realized that their electronic navigation systems are vulnerable to cyberattack, and as a result has instructed the Naval Academy to begin teaching celestial navigation again.
Название: Extreme value modeling and risk analysis ISBN: 1498701299 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781498701297 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 132710.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание:
Extreme Value Modeling and Risk Analysis: Methods and Applications presents a broad overview of statistical modeling of extreme events along with the most recent methodologies and various applications. The book brings together background material and advanced topics, eliminating the need to sort through the massive amount of literature on the subject.
After reviewing univariate extreme value analysis and multivariate extremes, the book explains univariate extreme value mixture modeling, threshold selection in extreme value analysis, and threshold modeling of non-stationary extremes. It presents new results for block-maxima of vine copulas, develops time series of extremes with applications from climatology, describes max-autoregressive and moving maxima models for extremes, and discusses spatial extremes and max-stable processes. The book then covers simulation and conditional simulation of max-stable processes; inference methodologies, such as composite likelihood, Bayesian inference, and approximate Bayesian computation; and inferences about extreme quantiles and extreme dependence. It also explores novel applications of extreme value modeling, including financial investments, insurance and financial risk management, weather and climate disasters, clinical trials, and sports statistics.
Risk analyses related to extreme events require the combined expertise of statisticians and domain experts in climatology, hydrology, finance, insurance, sports, and other fields. This book connects statistical/mathematical research with critical decision and risk assessment/management applications to stimulate more collaboration between these statisticians and specialists.
Автор: Tamar Kugler; J. Cole Smith; Terry Connolly; Young Название: Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments ISBN: 0387771301 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780387771304 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 163040.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Examines research at the interface of operations research, behavioral and cognitive sciences, and decision analysis. In these 14 self-contained chapters, this title covers topics such as the integration of decision analysis and behavioral models, innovations in behavioral models, exploring descriptive behavior models, and experimental studies.
Автор: Tamar Kugler; J. Cole Smith; Terry Connolly; Young Название: Decision Modeling and Behavior in Complex and Uncertain Environments ISBN: 1441926461 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781441926463 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 163040.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: On February 27 and 28 of 2006, the University of Arizona held a workshop entitled, "Decision Modeling and Behavior in Uncertain and Complex En- ronments," sponsored by the Air Force O?ce of Scienti?c Research under a Multidisciplinary University Research Initiative (MURI) grant. The purpose of the workshop was to assemble preeminent researchers studying problems at the interface of behavioral and cognitive science, decision analysis, and operations research. This book is a compilation of 14 chapters based on the presentations given during the workshop. These contributions are grouped into four general areas, which describe in some detail the challenges in conducting novel research in this ?eld. Part One is concerned with the need for integrating decision analysis and behavioral models. Robert T. Clemen discusses how the ?elds of behavioral - search and decision analysis have diverged over time, and makes a compelling case to establish new links between the disciplines. He recommends leveraging lessons learned from behavioral studies within prescriptive decision analysis studies and evaluating the practical impact of those prescriptive techniques in helping decision makers achieve their objectives. Jenna L. Marquard and Stephen M. Robinson address eleven common "traps" that face decision model analysts and users. An understanding of these traps leads to an understanding of modeling features that either help or hurt the decision-making process. The authors link theory and practice by examining a set of case studies across a diverse array of model scenarios, and provide a checklist of recommendations for analysts confronted by these eleven traps.
Автор: Fox, William P , Bauldry, William Название: Advanced Problem Solving Using Maple ISBN: 113860187X ISBN-13(EAN): 9781138601871 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 91860.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: The advanced text covers dynamical systems, single variable and multi-variable optimization, linear algebra, advanced model fitting techniques, game theory, and multi-attribute decision processes.
Название: Modeling Sociocultural Influences on Decision Making ISBN: 0367874075 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780367874070 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 54090.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Cross Cultural Decision Making seeks to understand the impact that a variety of influences including geographical, historical, sociological, organizational, team, and technology have on an individual`s decision making processes. This book proposes to explore how advances in information and social media technologies, as well as modeling and simul
Автор: Jan Treur Название: Network-Oriented Modeling for Adaptive Networks: Designing Higher-Order Adaptive Biological, Mental and Social Network Models ISBN: 3030314448 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783030314446 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 93160.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Moreover, because adaptive networks are described in a network format as well, the approach can simply be applied iteratively, so that higher-order adaptive networks in which network adaptation itself is adaptive (second-order adaptation), too can be modeled just as easily.
Автор: Porter Remington Название: Managerial Decision Modeling ISBN: 1635491703 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781635491708 Издательство: Неизвестно Цена: 152350.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: The book aims to shed light on some of the unexplored aspects of managerial decision modeling. It provides the students with the basic information related to this subject. Managerial decision model refers to a decision model that contains an action axiom. This axiomatic system has four steps namely, formulate, then evaluate, appraise and finally refine. This text is a valuable compilation of topics, ranging from the basic to the most complex theories and principles in the field of managerial decision modeling. It unfolds the innovative aspects of managerial decision modeling which will be crucial for the holistic understanding of the subject matter. This textbook is meant for students who are looking for an elaborate reference text on the subject.
Автор: Giampiero Beroggi Название: Decision Modeling in Policy Management ISBN: 0792383303 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792383307 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 194730.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: The effectiveness of policy decisions depends not only on the quality of the analysis but also on the communication between analyst and decision-maker. This work employs a three-step decomposition of the decision modeling process such as: visual-structural modeling, analytic-formal modeling, and algorithmic resolution modeling.
Автор: Peter S.H. Leeflang; Jaap E. Wieringa; Tammo H.A. Название: Modeling Markets ISBN: 1493940872 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781493940875 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 121110.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: This book is about how models can be developed to represent demand and supply on markets, where the emphasis is on demand models. In this book, the authors present a wealth of insights developed at the forefront of the field, covering all key aspects of specification, estimation, validation and use of models.
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