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Social Judgment and Decision Making, Krueger, Joachim I.


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Цена: 148010.00T
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Автор: Krueger, Joachim I.
Название:  Social Judgment and Decision Making
ISBN: 9781848729063
Издательство: Taylor&Francis
Классификация:
ISBN-10: 1848729065
Обложка/Формат: Hardback
Страницы: 316
Вес: 0.54 кг.
Дата издания: 18.10.2011
Серия: Frontiers of social psychology
Язык: English
Иллюстрации: 7 tables, black and white; 17 illustrations, black and white
Размер: 161 x 230 x 22
Читательская аудитория: Postgraduate, research & scholarly
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Поставляется из: Европейский союз

Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

Автор: Tetlock Philip E.
Название: Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
ISBN: 0691175977 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691175973
Издательство: Wiley
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Цена: 23230.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:

Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.

etlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat.

Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.


Simply Rational: Decision Making in the Real World

Автор: Gigerenzer Gerd
Название: Simply Rational: Decision Making in the Real World
ISBN: 019939007X ISBN-13(EAN): 9780199390076
Издательство: Oxford Academ
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Цена: 97150.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This volume of collected papers brings together applied and theoretical research on risks and decision making in the fields of medicine, psychology, and economics.

Modeling and Simulation of Smart Grid Integrated with Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems

Автор: Mohamed Abdelaziz Mohamed; Ali Mohamed Eltamaly
Название: Modeling and Simulation of Smart Grid Integrated with Hybrid Renewable Energy Systems
ISBN: 3319878743 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783319878744
Издательство: Springer
Рейтинг:
Цена: 111790.00 T
Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book presents a comprehensive definition of smart grids and their benefits, and compares smart and traditional grids. It also introduces a design methodology for stand-alone hybrid renewable energy system with and without applying the smart grid concepts for comparison purposes. It discusses using renewable energy power plants to feed loads in remote areas as well as in central power plants connected to electric utilities. Smart grid concepts used in the design of the hybrid renewable power systems can reduce the size of components, which can be translated to a reduction in the cost of generated energy. The proposed hybrid renewable energy system includes wind, photovoltaic, battery, and diesel, and is used initially to feed certain loads, covering the load required completely. The book introduces a novel methodology taking the smart grid concept into account by dividing the loads into high and low priority parts. The high priority part should be supplied at any generated conditions. However, the low priority loads can be shifted to the time when the generated energy from renewable energy sources is greater than the high priority loads requirements. The results show that the use of this smart grid concept reduces the component size and the cost of generated energy compared to that without dividing the loads. The book also describes the use of smart optimization techniques like particle swarm optimization (PSO) and genetic algorithm (GA) to optimally design the hybrid renewable energy system.  This book provides an excellent background to renewable energy sources, optimal sizing and locating of hybrid renewable energy sources, the best optimization methodologies for sizing and designing the components of hybrid renewable energy systems, and offers insights into using smart grid concepts in the system’s design and sizing.  It also helps readers understand the dispatch methodology and how to connect the system’s different components, their modeling, and the cost analysis of the system.

Stop Insecurity!: How to Live Confidently Overcoming Self-Doubt and Anxiety in Relationship, Insecurity in Love and Business Decision-Ma

Автор: Robertson Leslie
Название: Stop Insecurity!: How to Live Confidently Overcoming Self-Doubt and Anxiety in Relationship, Insecurity in Love and Business Decision-Ma
ISBN: 1801134170 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781801134170
Издательство: Неизвестно
Рейтинг:
Цена: 25700.00 T
Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии.
Описание:

Have you ever doubted yourself before making any critical decisions?

Would you like to forget about daily stress and anxiety once and for all?

Would you like to master proven methods that would help you build self-esteem and destroy insecurity?

I think you don't doubt yourself on this opportunity, so keep reading ...

Since most parents don't apply the right teaching methods to their children, most of us have to develop these features the hard way for self-esteem and mental toughness. There are many opportunities in today's world, but to make those opportunities our reality, we have to make decisions. Those decisions require will power, self-esteem, self-confidence, and a tough mind. And It is complicated to get ahead with insecurities and a weak mindset. What to do?


In this book, you will discover strategies that will support you in every critical decision-making situation. It's going to be your right hand when it comes to building new habits of the super-successful person in both personal life and career.


Here are just a few things you are about to learn:


- What are the real reasons behind insecurity?

- Complete guide to overcome personal insecurity

- What is the best way to overcome anxiety and stress in your relationship?

- Insecurity in business - habits that are going to go against them

- Proven methods to build self-confidence in your everyday life

- 7 types of business insecurities you must overcome

- Much much more ...


Even if you have been insecure your whole life but still have dreams and desires to get more from your life, this book will help you. It will take you by the hand and lead you out of fear, anxiety, and stress into the state of mind in which you want to be.

Now it is your turn to take action.


Scroll up, click on "Buy Now" and begin living fearless and stress-free life




Organizational Decision Making

Автор: Shapira
Название: Organizational Decision Making
ISBN: 0521890500 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780521890502
Издательство: Cambridge Academ
Рейтинг:
Цена: 54910.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This book offers a more realistic account of decision making in organizations by highlighting several aspects such as the salience of incentives, the pervasiveness of conflict, and the role that power and politics play in organizational decision making.

Judgment and Decision Making

Название: Judgment and Decision Making
ISBN: 1138003271 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781138003279
Издательство: Taylor&Francis
Рейтинг:
Цена: 57150.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: An up-to-date and comprehensive overview of the neo-Brunswikian and process-tracing approaches to research on judgment and decision making.

Social Psychology and Economics

Автор: De Cremer, David
Название: Social Psychology and Economics
ISBN: 0805857540 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780805857542
Издательство: Taylor&Francis
Рейтинг:
Цена: 153120.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

Social Psychology and Economics

Автор: De Cremer, David
Название: Social Psychology and Economics
ISBN: 0805857559 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780805857559
Издательство: Taylor&Francis
Рейтинг:
Цена: 91860.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

The Science of Giving

Автор: Oppenheimer, Daniel M.
Название: The Science of Giving
ISBN: 1848728859 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781848728851
Издательство: Taylor&Francis
Рейтинг:
Цена: 148010.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.

Beliefs and Decision Rules in Public Good Games

Автор: Theo Offerman
Название: Beliefs and Decision Rules in Public Good Games
ISBN: 0792399919 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792399919
Издательство: Springer
Рейтинг:
Цена: 158380.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Part I provides an introduction to this study of players` beliefs and decision rules in to obtain data in order to public good games. Chapter 2 provides an overview of psychological and economic ideas concerning players` beliefs and decision rules in public good games.

Collective Decision-Making:

Автор: Norman Schofield
Название: Collective Decision-Making:
ISBN: 0792397118 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792397113
Издательство: Springer
Рейтинг:
Цена: 204040.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Provides a perspective on collective decision-making, presenting economic and political aspects from both a theoretical and empirical viewpoint. This book examines decision-making in multiparty politics. It also covers interest groups, electoral cycles and a formal discussion of the `general will`.

Arrovian Aggregation Models

Автор: Fuad T. Aleskerov
Название: Arrovian Aggregation Models
ISBN: 0792384512 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792384519
Издательство: Springer
Рейтинг:
Цена: 158380.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Investigates three formulations of the aggregation problem according to the form in which the individual opinions about the alternatives are defined, as well as to the form of desired social decision. This book offers a description of the problem of axiomatic synthesis of local rules.


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