The Tyranny of Uncertainty: A New Framework to Predict, Remediate and Monitor Risk, Abu El Ata Nabil, Schmandt Rudolf

Автор: Muller Jerry Z.
Название: The Tyranny of Metrics
ISBN: 0691191913 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691191911
Издательство: Wiley
Рейтинг:
Цена: 17940.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:

How the obsession with quantifying human performance threatens education, medicine, business, government--and the quality of our lives

Today, organizations of all kinds are ruled by the belief that the path to success is quantifying human performance, publicizing the results, and dividing up the rewards based on the numbers. But in our zeal to instill the evaluation process with scientific rigor, we've gone from measuring performance to fixating on measuring itself--and this tyranny of metrics now threatens the quality of our organizations and lives. In this brief, accessible, and powerful book, Jerry Muller uncovers the damage metrics is causing and shows how we can begin to fix the problem. Filled with examples from business, medicine, education, government, and other fields, the book explains why paying for measured performance doesn't work, why surgical scorecards may increase deaths, and much more. But the book also shows that, when used as a complement to judgment based on personal experience, metrics can be beneficial, and it includes an invaluable checklist of when and how to use them. The result is an essential corrective to a harmful trend that increasingly affects us all.

Автор: Ganguli Ranjan
Название: Structural Health Monitoring: A Non-Deterministic Framework
ISBN: 9811549877 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789811549878
Издательство: Springer
Рейтинг:
Цена: 139750.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: It utilizes principles of fuzzy logic, probability theory, and signal processing to develop systems and approaches that are robust in the presence of both noise in the data and variations in properties of materials which are intrinsic to the process of mass production.

Автор: Leonard Berliner; Heinz U. Lemke
Название: An Information Technology Framework for Predictive, Preventive and Personalised Medicine
ISBN: 3319384341 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783319384344
Издательство: Springer
Рейтинг:
Цена: 111790.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: An IT System for Personalized Medicine (ITS-PM) for HCC will provide the means to identify and determine the relative value of the wide number of variables, including clinical assessment of the patient -- functional status, liver function, degree of cirrhosis, and comorbidities;

Автор: Leonard Berliner; Heinz U. Lemke
Название: An Information Technology Framework for Predictive, Preventive and Personalised Medicine
ISBN: 3319121650 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783319121659
Издательство: Springer
Рейтинг:
Цена: 111790.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: An IT System for Personalized Medicine (ITS-PM) for HCC will provide the means to identify and determine the relative value of the wide number of variables, including clinical assessment of the patient -- functional status, liver function, degree of cirrhosis, and comorbidities;

Автор: Mcclarren, Ryan G.
Название: Uncertainty quantification and predictive computational science
ISBN: 3319995243 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783319995243
Издательство: Springer
Рейтинг:
Цена: 93160.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This textbook teaches the essential background and skills for understanding and quantifying uncertainties in a computational simulation, and for predicting the behavior of a system under those uncertainties.

Автор: Abu El Ata, Nabil Schmandt, Rudolf
Название: Tyranny of uncertainty
ISBN: 3662491036 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783662491034
Издательство: Springer
Рейтинг:
Цена: 74530.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:

Framing the Risk Challenge.- Understanding the Hidden Risk of Dynamic Complexity.- Understanding the Nature of Risk.- Human Interaction and Perception of Risk.- Risk Evolves as Experience Evolves.- Why the Risk Comes as a Surprise.- Systemic and Systematic Risk.- How Risk is Currently Mitigated vs. How it Should be Mitigated.- Consequentialism is Necessary.- Uncertainty is the Enemy of Risk Management.- Modern Risk Management.- Evolution and Risk: The Bridge and the Missing Link.- Scientific Deterministic Risk Management.- The Role of Dynamic Complexity in Risk Propagation.- New Universal Risk Management Methodology (X-Act(R) OBC Platform).- Risk Discovery: Using Patterns to Spot the Unspottable.- Predictive Modeling.- Causal Deconstruction.- The Need for Hierarchic Predictive Emulation.- A Mathematical Treatise of Dynamic Complexity.- Emulative Deconstruction for Mathematical Prediction.- Singularity and Chaos Theory.- The Mathematical Solution.- Universal Risk Management Cases.- The Big Dig: Business Evolution and IT Dephasing Creates Dynamic Complexity.- From Corporate Survival to Revival.- An Industry Reinvented by Design: Postal Services.- Expanding Under Control and the Transformative Evolution.- Healthcare System Efficiency: Avoiding a Major Misdiagnosis.- The 2007 Financial Meltdown: Was it Avoidable?.- Greece in Crisis: The Haze, Mirage and Survival.- Dealing with the Growing Epidemic of Chronic Crisis.- Risk Management: A Future Perspective.- Disruption: The Way to Fight Chronic Risk.- Epilog.

Название: Asia Bond Monitor – September 2019
ISBN: 9292617346 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789292617349
Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan)
Рейтинг:
Цена: 21730.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: At the end of June, there was $15.3 trillion in local currency bonds outstanding in the region, 3.5% more than at the end of March and 14.2% more than in June 2018. Bond issuance in emerging East Asia amounted to $1.6 trillion in the second quarter, 12.2% higher than in the first quarter.In addition to market reports, this issue of the Asia Bond Monitor discusses the impact of US monetary policy uncertainty on emerging market currency rates as well as the growing importance of domestic capital markets. It also looks at the progress of global efforts to transition away from the use of the London Interbank Offered Rate, the widely used benchmark rate in global financial markets.

Автор: Muller Jerry Z.
Название: The Tyranny of Metrics
ISBN: 0691174954 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691174952
Издательство: Wiley
Рейтинг:
Цена: 21120.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание:

How the obsession with quantifying human performance threatens our schools, medical care, businesses, and government

Today, organizations of all kinds are ruled by the belief that the path to success is quantifying human performance, publicizing the results, and dividing up the rewards based on the numbers. But in our zeal to instill the evaluation process with scientific rigor, we've gone from measuring performance to fixating on measuring itself. The result is a tyranny of metrics that threatens the quality of our lives and most important institutions. In this timely and powerful book, Jerry Muller uncovers the damage our obsession with metrics is causing--and shows how we can begin to fix the problem.

Filled with examples from education, medicine, business and finance, government, the police and military, and philanthropy and foreign aid, this brief and accessible book explains why the seemingly irresistible pressure to quantify performance distorts and distracts, whether by encouraging "gaming the stats" or "teaching to the test." That's because what can and does get measured is not always worth measuring, may not be what we really want to know, and may draw effort away from the things we care about. Along the way, we learn why paying for measured performance doesn't work, why surgical scorecards may increase deaths, and much more. But metrics can be good when used as a complement to--rather than a replacement for--judgment based on personal experience, and Muller also gives examples of when metrics have been beneficial.

Complete with a checklist of when and how to use metrics, The Tyranny of Metrics is an essential corrective to a rarely questioned trend that increasingly affects us all.

Название: Asia Bond Monitor – November 2019
ISBN: 9292618660 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789292618667
Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan)
Рейтинг:
Цена: 25080.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: The quarterly Asia Bond Monitor reviews developments in emerging East Asian local currency bond markets. The report discusses key trends in the region’s bond markets, and the outlook, risks, and policy options. It covers the 10 members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations and the PRC; Hong Kong, China; and the Republic of Korea. The theme chapter of this issue of the Asia Bond Monitor investigates the effect of bond market development on the risk-taking decisions of banks. Using bank-level data from developing markets around the world, the analysis finds that a well-functioning capital market can contribute to the soundness of the banking sector: bond market development reduces banks’ risks and supports credit creation. In addition, this issue examines the results of the AsianBondsOnline Annual Bond Market Liquidity Survey. It includes discussion boxes on PRC–US trade tensions and reform of the London Interbank Offered Rate.