Автор: Tetlock Philip E. Название: Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? ISBN: 0691175977 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691175973 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 23230.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание:
Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.
etlock first discusses arguments about whether the world is too complex for people to find the tools to understand political phenomena, let alone predict the future. He evaluates predictions from experts in different fields, comparing them to predictions by well-informed laity or those based on simple extrapolation from current trends. He goes on to analyze which styles of thinking are more successful in forecasting. Classifying thinking styles using Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog, Tetlock contends that the fox--the thinker who knows many little things, draws from an eclectic array of traditions, and is better able to improvise in response to changing events--is more successful in predicting the future than the hedgehog, who knows one big thing, toils devotedly within one tradition, and imposes formulaic solutions on ill-defined problems. He notes a perversely inverse relationship between the best scientific indicators of good judgement and the qualities that the media most prizes in pundits--the single-minded determination required to prevail in ideological combat.
Clearly written and impeccably researched, the book fills a huge void in the literature on evaluating expert opinion. It will appeal across many academic disciplines as well as to corporations seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making. Now with a new preface in which Tetlock discusses the latest research in the field, the book explores what constitutes good judgment in predicting future events and looks at why experts are often wrong in their forecasts.
Автор: Jouvenel, Bertrand De Название: Sovereignty ISBN: 0865971730 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780865971738 Издательство: Gazelle Book Services Рейтинг: Цена: 15660.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: An examination of the nature and history of authority, the political good, the sovereign and liberty. The foreword places the author`s work in the context of his entire corpus.
Автор: Sanders Название: Making Good Communities Better ISBN: 0813154286 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780813154282 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 37620.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: An impressive array of additional experts has teamed up with him to supply selected guideposts on twenty-one special problems in community organization. This popular handbook has been called by many civic workers the most practical, down-to-earth tool they have known for community engineering.
Автор: John M. Budd Название: Democracy, Economics, and the Public Good: Informational Failures and Potential ISBN: 1137448156 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781137448156 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 74530.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Democracy, Economics, and the Public Good provides a critical examination of essential aspects of American life, reviewing democratic and economic theories and practices and providing examination of ideas of the public good. Similar critical processes are
Название: Sdg3 - good health and wellbeing ISBN: 1789737125 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781789737127 Издательство: Emerald Рейтинг: Цена: 62330.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: SDG3 - Good Health and Wellbeing: Re-Calibrating the SDG Agenda will explore topics surrounding the contemporary discussions concerning the implementation of the goal. It will cover concepts and concerns, and include practical case studies of how SDG3 has been implemented in different regions of the world.
An artist charts the historical context and aftermath of a concert--by Leonard Cohen at the Ramallah Cultural Palace in Palestine--that never happened.
Michael Rakowitz's project I'm good at love, I'm good at hate, it's in between I freeze (2009-ongoing) charts the historical context and aftermath of a concert that never happened. In 2009 Leonard Cohen was scheduled to perform in Israel. Because of increasing pressure from pro-Palestinian voices to dissuade Cohen from performing in Israel, a twin event in Palestine was organized. Amid protests and claims that the latter concert was a token show of solidarity and a hollow attempt to appease demonstrators, the concert was boycotted and eventually canceled. But the story, as Rakowitz's work demonstrates, did not end there. Conjoining the cultural histories of Palestine and Israel with the ethical dilemmas faced by performers under the conditions of a boycott, this volume, the first in the Research/Practice series, brings to light the research that went into this multifaceted work and plots the future arc of its trajectory.
Автор: Wuthnow Robert Название: Why Religion Is Good for American Democracy ISBN: 0691222630 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780691222639 Издательство: Wiley Рейтинг: Цена: 31680.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание:
How the actions and advocacy of diverse religious communities in the United States have supported democracy's development during the past century
Does religion benefit democracy? Robert Wuthnow says yes. In Why Religion Is Good for American Democracy, Wuthnow makes his case by moving beyond the focus on unifying values or narratives about culture wars and elections. Rather, he demonstrates that the beneficial contributions of religion are best understood through the lens of religious diversity. The religious composition of the United States comprises many groups, organizations, and individuals that vigorously, and sometimes aggressively, contend for what they believe to be good and true. Unwelcome as this contention can be, it is rarely extremist, violent, or autocratic. Instead, it brings alternative and innovative perspectives to the table, forcing debates about what it means to be a democracy. Wuthnow shows how American religious diversity works by closely investigating religious advocacy spanning the past century: during the Great Depression, World War II, the civil rights movement, the debates about welfare reform, the recent struggles for immigrant rights and economic equality, and responses to the coronavirus pandemic. The engagement of religious groups in advocacy and counteradvocacy has sharpened arguments about authoritarianism, liberty of conscience, freedom of assembly, human dignity, citizens' rights, equality, and public health. Wuthnow hones in on key principles of democratic governance and provides a hopeful yet realistic appraisal of what religion can and cannot achieve. At a time when many observers believe American democracy to be in dire need of revitalization, Why Religion Is Good for American Democracy illustrates how religious groups have contributed to this end and how they might continue to do so despite the many challenges faced by the nation.
Автор: Thomas P. Kapsidelis Название: After Virginia Tech: Guns, Safety, and Healing in the Era of Mass Shootings ISBN: 0813942225 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780813942223 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 27720.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Award-winning journalist Thomas Kapsidelis examines the decade after the Virginia Tech massacre through the experiences of survivors and community members who advocated for reforms in gun safety, campus security, trauma recovery, and mental health.
Название: Multiple Modernities and Good Governance ISBN: 113857452X ISBN-13(EAN): 9781138574526 Издательство: Taylor&Francis Рейтинг: Цена: 148010.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: This book represents the first discussion from a political science perspective of the concept of Multiple Modernities in three dimensions and addessing four concepts - Good Society, Good Governance, Human Security and Varieties of Capitalism
Автор: Abby Hardgrove Название: Life after Guns: Reciprocity and Respect among Young Men in Liberia ISBN: 0813573483 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780813573489 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 104500.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка. Описание: Life After Guns explores how ex-combatants and other post-war youth negotiated a depleted and difficult social and cultural landscape in the years following Liberia’s fourteen-year bloody civil war. Unlike others who study child soldiers, Abby Hardgrove’s ethnography looks at both former combatants and also the youth who were not recruited to fight. She focuses on the structural constraints and household and family organizations that either helped or limited opportunities as these young men grew into adulthood. Whether young men fought or not, and whether they had cultural capital before the war or not, family relations mattered a great deal in how they fared after the war.Download open access ebook here.
Автор: Abby Hardgrove Название: Life after Guns: Reciprocity and Respect among Young Men in Liberia ISBN: 0813573475 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780813573472 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 34230.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка. Описание: Life After Guns explores how ex-combatants and other post-war youth negotiated a depleted and difficult social and cultural landscape in the years following Liberia’s fourteen-year bloody civil war. Unlike others who study child soldiers, Abby Hardgrove’s ethnography looks at both former combatants and also the youth who were not recruited to fight. She focuses on the structural constraints and household and family organizations that either helped or limited opportunities as these young men grew into adulthood. Whether young men fought or not, and whether they had cultural capital before the war or not, family relations mattered a great deal in how they fared after the war.Download open access ebook here.
Автор: Armstrong Название: The Legacy of the Good Friday Agreement ISBN: 3319912313 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783319912318 Издательство: Springer Рейтинг: Цена: 121110.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Thus, the authors of this book look at a number of issues that continue to stymie the development of a robust and sustainable peacebuilding project, including segregation, contested parades and flags, ethnic party mobilization, and memorialization.
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