Автор: Nassim Nicholas Taleb Название: Fooled by Randomness ISBN: 0141031484 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780141031484 Издательство: Random House - Penguin Рейтинг: Цена: 9680.00 T Наличие на складе: Ожидается поступление. Описание: Everyone wants to succeed in life. But what causes some of us to be more successful than others? Is it really down to skill and strategy - or something altogether more unpredictable? This book intends to change the way you think about business and the world.
Автор: Nassim Nicholas Taleb Название: Fooled by Randomness ISBN: 0812975219 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780812975215 Издательство: Random House (USA) Цена: 12260.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Fooled by Randomness is a standalone book in Nassim Nicholas Taleb's landmark Incerto series, an investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don't understand. The other books in the series are The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, and The Bed of Procrustes.Fooled by Randomness is the word-of-mouth sensation that will change the way you think about business and the world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb-veteran trader, renowned risk expert, polymathic scholar, erudite raconteur, and New York Times bestselling author of The Black Swan-has written a modern classic that turns on its head what we believe about luck and skill. This book is about luck-or more precisely, about how we perceive and deal with luck in life and business. Set against the backdrop of the most conspicuous forum in which luck is mistaken for skill-the world of trading-Fooled by Randomness provides captivating insight into one of the least understood factors in all our lives. Writing in an entertaining narrative style, the author tackles major intellectual issues related to the underestimation of the influence of happenstance on our lives. The book is populated with an array of characters, some of whom have grasped, in their own way, the significance of chance: the baseball legend Yogi Berra; the philosopher of knowledge Karl Popper; the ancient world's wisest man, Solon; the modern financier George Soros; and the Greek voyager Odysseus. We also meet the fictional Nero, who seems to understand the role of randomness in his professional life but falls victim to his own superstitious foolishness. However, the most recognizable character of all remains unnamed-the lucky fool who happens to be in the right place at the right time-he embodies the "survival of the least fit." Such individuals attract devoted followers who believe in their guru's insights and methods. But no one can replicate what is obtained by chance. Are we capable of distinguishing the fortunate charlatan from the genuine visionary? Must we always try to uncover nonexistent messages in random events? It may be impossible to guard ourselves against the vagaries of the goddess Fortuna, but after reading Fooled by Randomness we can be a little better prepared. PRAISE FOR FOOLED BY RANDOMNESSNamed by Fortune One of the Smartest Books of All Time A Financial Times Best Business Book of the Year " Fooled by Randomness] is to conventional Wall Street wisdom approximately what Martin Luther's ninety-five theses were to the Catholic Church." -Malcolm Gladwell, author of Blink "The book that rolled down Wall Street like a hand grenade." -Maggie Mahar, author of Bull A History of the Boom, 1982--1999 "Fascinating . . . Taleb will grab you." -Peter L. Bernstein, author of Capital Ideas Evolving "Recalls the best of scientist/essayists like Richard Dawkins . . . and Stephen Jay Gould." -Michael Schrage, author of Serious Play: How the World's Best Companies Simulate to Innovate "We need a book like this. . . . Fun to read, refreshingly independent-minded." -Robert J. Shiller, author of Irrational Exuberance "Powerful . . . loaded with crackling little insights and] extreme brilliance." -National Review
Автор: Mlodinow Leonard Название: The Drunkard`s Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives ISBN: 0307275175 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780307275172 Издательство: Random House (USA) Рейтинг: Цена: 11030.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: With the born storyteller's command of narrative and imaginative approach, Leonard Mlodinow vividly demonstrates how our lives are profoundly informed by chance and randomness and how everything from wine ratings and corporate success to school grades and political polls are less reliable than we believe. By showing us the true nature of chance and revealing the psychological illusions that cause us to misjudge the world around us, Mlodinow gives us the tools we need to make more informed decisions. From the classroom to the courtroom and from financial markets to supermarkets, Mlodinow's intriguing and illuminating look at how randomness, chance, and probability affect our daily lives will intrigue, awe, and inspire.
This book is about one imperfect family's adventures, as told through stories about the events they have experienced together. Nearly every idea included began with a spur-of-the-moment action that either produced a useful result...or didn't. What worked, they did again. What didn't, they discarded. Some are humorous and all are insightful. You will see yourself in these stories and learn how to apply the wisdom you have gained from your own childhood and now as a parent.
Glenda Wilkes, PhD, a developmental psychologist and parent of six (now grown and married) children has written and assembled a delightfully entertaining and enlightening collection of stories about her family. The lessons she learned will broaden your family's understanding of each other and help you create a shared learning dynamic. The result will be a more focused, thoughtful, and interactive parenting style. And you will have fun uncovering the underlying principles inherent in family life.
New York Times best-selling author Dr. Kevin Leman touts Dr. Wilkes as "a narrator who has soaked up the details of her family's adventures and recounts them with humor and insight. This is a book you'll read again and again. It will cause you to recall your own childhood as well as give you new ideas for your own children."
All of us have family stories. Now it's time to discover how to learn from them
Автор: Randomness Название: Random Shots ISBN: 0464156467 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780464156468 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 80010.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка.
Автор: Randomness Название: Random Shots ISBN: 0464156440 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780464156444 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 91240.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка.
Автор: Guys Random Название: Beauty in Randomness ISBN: 0464089832 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780464089834 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 20210.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка. Описание: Beauty in Randomness allows you to travel with this amazing and fun little photo journal that will add some fun to your book collection,
Автор: Blokes Random Название: Randomness ISBN: 0464080800 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780464080800 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 59450.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка. Описание: If you love a world of random event brings you endless joy than this is the photo book for your amazing collection.
Автор: Blokes Random Название: Randomness ISBN: 0464080797 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780464080794 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 73760.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка. Описание: If you love a world of random event brings you endless joy than this is the photo book for your amazing collection.
Автор: Guys Random Название: Beauty in Randomness ISBN: 0464089859 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780464089858 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 49850.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка. Описание: Beauty in Randomness allows you to travel with this amazing and fun little photo journal that will add some fun to your book collection,
Автор: Blokes Random Название: Randomness ISBN: 0464080819 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780464080817 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 44120.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка. Описание: If you love a world of random event brings you endless joy than this is the photo book for your amazing collection.
Название: Quantum Probability and Randomness ISBN: 3038977144 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783038977148 Издательство: Неизвестно Рейтинг: Цена: 71110.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание:
The last few years have been characterized by a tremendous development of quantum information and probability and their applications, including quantum computing, quantum cryptography, and quantum random generators. In spite of the successful development of quantum technology, its foundational basis is still not concrete and contains a few sandy and shaky slices. Quantum random generators are one of the most promising outputs of the recent quantum information revolution. Therefore, it is very important to reconsider the foundational basis of this project, starting with the notion of irreducible quantum randomness. Quantum probabilities present a powerful tool to model uncertainty. Interpretations of quantum probability and foundational meaning of its basic tools, starting with the Born rule, are among the topics which will be covered by this issue. Recently, quantum probability has started to play an important role in a few areas of research outside quantum physics--in particular, quantum probabilistic treatment of problems of theory of decision making under uncertainty. Such studies are also among the topics of this issue.
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