Ignorance and Uncertainty, Compte Olivier, Postlewaite Andrew

Автор: Svetlana Boyarchenko; Sergei Levendorskii
Название: Irreversible Decisions under Uncertainty
ISBN: 3642092934 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642092930
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 172350.00 T
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Описание: Here, two highly experienced authors present an alternative approach to optimal stopping problems. The basic ideas and techniques of the approach can be explained much simpler than the standard methods in the literature on optimal stopping problems.

Автор: V.T. Covello; Lester B. Lave; Alan Moghissi; V.R.R
Название: Uncertainty in Risk Assessment, Risk Management, and Decision Making
ISBN: 146845319X ISBN-13(EAN): 9781468453195
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 113190.00 T
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Описание: Proceedings of the Society for Risk Analysis International Workshop held in Knoxville, Tennessee, September 30-October 3, 1984

Автор: Compte Olivier, Postlewaite Andrew
Название: Ignorance and Uncertainty
ISBN: 1108422020 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781108422024
Издательство: Cambridge Academ
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Цена: 104550.00 T
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Описание: Compte and Postlewaite propose novel methods to incorporate ignorance and uncertainty into economic modeling, without complex mathematics. An accessible text that proposes a constructive critique of the discipline, and that will find a broad audience with readers who build or use economic models, and those just interested in the discipline.

Автор: Herbert I. Weisberg
Название: Willful Ignorance: The Mismeasure of Uncertainty
ISBN: 0470890444 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780470890448
Издательство: Wiley
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Цена: 30570.00 T
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Описание: This provocative new book posits how the tacit principle of "willful ignorance" has led to a deep divide between qualitative and quantitative modes of research that will increasingly constrain scientific progress unless bridged by a broadened conception of statistical methodology.

Автор: Mohammed Abdellaoui; R. Duncan Luce; Mark J. Machi
Название: Uncertainty and Risk
ISBN: 3642080294 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642080296
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 139750.00 T
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Описание: This book tries to sort out the different meanings of uncertainty and to discover their foundations. It shows that uncertainty can be represented using various tools and mental guidelines. Behavior under uncertainty emerges from this book as something to base more on inquiry and reflection rather than on mere intuition.

Автор: Lindley
Название: Understanding Uncertainty, Revised Edition
ISBN: 1118650123 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781118650127
Издательство: Wiley
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Цена: 104490.00 T
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Описание: With a focus on understanding and using probability calculations, Understanding Uncertainty demystifies probability and explains in straightforward detail the logic of uncertainty, its truths, and its falsehoods.

Автор: Hykel Hosni; F. Montagna
Название: Probability, Uncertainty and Rationality
ISBN: 8876423478 ISBN-13(EAN): 9788876423475
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 27020.00 T
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Описание: While logic lends its methods, techniques and ideas to the investigation of rationality, the practical problems which arise in modelling rational behaviour, especially in the social sciences, motivate logicians to develop more refined logical formalisms. This title explores the virtuous circle connecting logic and rationality.

Автор: Bogus?aw Bieda
Название: Stochastic Analysis in Production Process and Ecology Under Uncertainty
ISBN: 3642427804 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642427800
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 87060.00 T
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Описание: Chapter five contains examples of using ecological Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) - a relatively new method of environmental impact assessment - which help in preparing pro-ecological strategy, and which can lead to reducing the amount of wastes produced in the ArcelorMittal Steel Plant production processes.

Автор: Wolfgang Fellin; Heimo Lessmann; Michael Obergugge
Название: Analyzing Uncertainty in Civil Engineering
ISBN: 3642060781 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783642060786
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 130590.00 T
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Описание: Assessment of characteristic shear strength parameters of soil and its implication in geotechnical design.- Ambiguity of safety definition in geotechnical models.- The fuzziness and sensitivity of failure probabilities.- The mathematics of uncertainty: models, methods and interpretations.- Multi-parameter models: rules and computational methods for combining uncertainties.- Sensitivity analysis.- Difficulties related to numerical predictions of deformations.- FE ultimate load analyses of pile-supported pipelines - tackling uncertainty in a real design problem.- The Implications of Geotechnical Model Uncertainty for Construction Management.- Fuzzy, probabilistic and stochastic modelling of an elastically bedded beam.- Queueing models with fuzzy data in construction management.- Fuzzy models in geotechnical engineering and construction management.

Автор: Mario Fedrizzi
Название: Combining Fuzzy Imprecision with Probabilistic Uncertainty in Decision Making
ISBN: 3540500057 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783540500056
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 121110.00 T
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Описание: In the literature of decision analysis it is traditional to rely on the tools provided by probability theory to deal with problems in which uncertainty plays a substantive role. , n, in which X and Yare real-valued variables and Ai and Bi are fuzzy numbers exemplified by small, large, not very small, close to 5, etc.

Автор: Dov M. Gabbay; Philippe Smets
Название: Quantified Representation of Uncertainty and Imprecision
ISBN: 9048150388 ISBN-13(EAN): 9789048150380
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 277650.00 T
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Описание: This Handbook was produced in the style of previous handbook series like the Handbook of Philosoph- ical Logic, the Handbook of Logic in Computer Science, the Handbook of Logic in Artificial Intelligence and Logic Programming, and can be seen as a companion to them in covering the wide applications of logic and reasoning.

Автор: Marjolein B.A. van Asselt
Название: Perspectives on Uncertainty and Risk
ISBN: 0792366565 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780792366560
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 174150.00 T
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Описание: Addresses the issue of analysis and management of uncertainty and risk in decision support corresponding to the aims of Integrated Assessment. This volume is intended to stimulate a change in the practice of decision support, advocating an interdisciplinary approach centred on both social and natural sciences, both theory and practice.