Forecasting the Health of Elderly Populations, Kenneth G. Manton; Burton H. Singer; Richard M. Su

Автор: Douglas C. Montgomery,Cheryl L. Jennings,Murat Kul
Название: Introduction to Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
ISBN: 1118745116 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781118745113
Издательство: Wiley
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Цена: 121390.00 T
Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Praise for the First Edition " [t]he book is great for readers who need to apply the methods and models presented but have little background in mathematics and statistics.

Автор: Box G. E. P.
Название: Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control, 4th Edition
ISBN: 0470272848 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780470272848
Издательство: Wiley
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Цена: 123550.00 T
Наличие на складе: Поставка под заказ.
Описание: This is a revision of a classic, seminal, and authoritative book that has been the model for most books on the topic written since 1970. It focuses on practical techniques throughout, rather than a rigorous mathematical treatment of the subject. It explores the building of stochastic (statistical) models for time series and their use in important areas of application forecasting, model specification, estimation, modeling the effects of intervention events, and process control, among others. In addition to meticulous modifications in content and improvements in style, the new edition incorporates several new topics in an effort to modernize the subject matter. These topics include extensive discussions of multivariate time series, smoothing, likelihood function based on the state space model, autoregressive models, structural component models and deterministic seasonal components, and nonlinear and long memory models.

Автор: Hyndman
Название: Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing
ISBN: 3540719164 ISBN-13(EAN): 9783540719168
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 93160.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: However, a modeling framework incorporating stochastic models, likelihood calculation, prediction intervals and procedures for model selection, was not developed until recently. More advanced topics are covered in Part 3, including the mathematical properties of the models and extensions of the models for specific problems.

Автор: Alho
Название: Statistical Demography and Forecasting
ISBN: 0387225382 ISBN-13(EAN): 9780387225388
Издательство: Springer
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Цена: 144410.00 T
Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ.
Описание: Sustainability of pension systems, intergeneration fiscal equity under population aging, and accounting for health care benefits for future retirees are examples of problems that cannot be solved without understanding the nature of population forecasts and their uncertainty. Similarly, the accuracy of population estimates directly affects both the distributions of formula-based government allocations to sub-national units and the apportionment of political representation. The book develops the statistical foundation for addressing such issues. Areas covered include classical mathematical demography, event history methods, multi-state methods, stochastic population forecasting, sampling and census coverage, and decision theory. The methods are illustrated with empirical applications from Europe and the U.S.For statisticians the book provides a unique introduction to demographic problems in a familiar language. For demographers, actuaries, epidemiologists, and professionals in related fields, the book presents a unified statistical outlook on both classical methods of demography and recent developments. To facilitate its classroom use, exercises are included. Over half of the book is readily accessible to undergraduates, but more maturity may be required to benefit fully from the complete text. Knowledge of differential and integral calculus, matrix algebra, basic probability theory, and regression analysis is assumed.