Forecasting in the Presence of Structural Breaks and Model Uncertainty, David Rapach, Mark Wohar
Название: Regional Economic Outlook, April 2019, Sub-Saharan Africa: Recovery Amid Elevated Uncertainty ISBN: 1484396863 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781484396865 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 36030.00 T Наличие на складе: Нет в наличии. Описание: The economic recovery in sub-Saharan Africa is expected to continue, but at a slower pace than envisaged in October 2018. This weaker outlook reflects domestic and external challenges. On the external side, the global expansion is losing momentum, including in China and the euro area, trade tensions remain elevated, global financial conditions have tightened, and commodity prices are expected to remain low. On the domestic front, security challenges, climate shocks, and policy uncertainty are hampering investment and weighing on economic prospects in several countries. Under current policies, medium-term average growth for the region is expected to continue to fall well short of what is needed to absorb the new entrants to the labour force and to deliver limited gains in living standards.
Автор: Franses Название: Expert Adjustments of Model Forecasts ISBN: 1107081599 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781107081598 Издательство: Cambridge Academ Рейтинг: Цена: 53850.00 T Наличие на складе: Есть у поставщика Поставка под заказ. Описание: Written for academics and practitioners with an interest in forecasting methodology, this book tests the notion that many forecasters feel they can improve the accuracy of forecasts based on their intuition. Current research is collated to examine `expert adjustment` from an econometric perspective and guidelines for improvement are suggested.
Автор: International Monetary Fund Название: Regional Economic Outlook, SubSaharan Africa, April 2012: Sustaining Growth amid Global Uncertainty ISBN: 1616352493 ISBN-13(EAN): 9781616352493 Издательство: Mare Nostrum (Eurospan) Рейтинг: Цена: 31410.00 T Наличие на складе: Невозможна поставка. Описание: Discusses recent economic developments and prospects for the region as a whole, as well as for specific countries. Each report focuses on policy developments that have affected economic performance in the region, and discusses key challenges faced by policymakers. The near term outlook, key risks, and their related policy challenges are analysed throughout, and current issues are explored.
This volume investigates the accuracy and dynamic performance of a high-frequency forecast model for the Japanese and United States economies based on the Current Quarter Model (CQM) or High Frequency Model (HFM) developed by the late Professor Emeritus Lawrence R. Klein. It also presents a survey of recent developments in high-frequency forecasts and gives an example application of the CQM model in forecasting Gross Regional Products (GRPs).
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