Casti, John L. X-Events 9780062088284

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Автор: Casti, John L.
Название: X-Events
Перевод названия: Х-события
ISBN: 9780062088284
Издательство: HarperCollins USA
Классификация:

Воздействие науки и технологии на общество

Популяризация науки

ISBN-10: 0062088289
Обложка/Формат: Hardcover
Страницы: 320
Вес: 0.00 кг.
Дата издания: 01.06.2012
Язык: English
Читательская аудитория: Adult
Поставляется из: США
Описание:

An acclaimed theorist offers a provocative and chilling warning: todays advanced societies have grown overcomplex and highly vulnerable to extreme events that could topple civilization

The modern industrialized world is a complex system on a scale never before witnessed in the history of humankind. Technologically dependent, globally interconnected, it offers seemingly limitless conveniences, choices, and opportunities. Yet this same modern civilization may be as unstable as a house of cards, fear complexity scientists like John Casti. All it would take to downsize our way of life--to send us crashing back to the nineteenth century--is a nudge from what Casti calls an X-event, an unpredictable occurrence with extreme, even dire, consequences. When an X-event strikes--and scientists believe it will--finance, communication, defense, and travel will stop dead in their tracks. The flow of food, electricity, medicine, and clean water will be disrupted for months, if not years. What will you do?

A renowned systems theorist, Casti shows how our world has become impossibly complicated, relying on ever more advanced technology that is developing at an exponential rate. Yet it is a fact of mathematical life that higher and higher levels of complexity lead to systems that are increasingly fragile and susceptible to sudden, spectacular collapse. Fascinating and chilling, X-Events provides a provocative tour of the catastrophic outlier scenarios that could quickly send us crashing back to the preindustrial age: global financial black swans; a worldwide crash of the Internet that would halt all communication; the end of oil; nuclear winter; nanoplagues; robot uprisings; electromagnetic pulses; pandemic viruses; and more. You wont ever look at the world the same way again.

X-Events, Casti, John L.